Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.553218 0.616662 0.685295 0.765201 0.855850 0.955692 1.074260
2025-03-16 0.446863 0.532373 0.632112 0.757636 0.912218 1.097420 1.337686
2025-03-23 0.393291 0.489557 0.607602 0.764183 0.968181 1.227347 1.585356
2025-03-30 0.347949 0.448366 0.576486 0.753755 0.995511 1.317810 1.786951
2025-04-06 0.314892 0.417913 0.553900 0.749046 1.026017 1.411300 1.998939
2025-04-13 0.279141 0.379660 0.516163 0.718155 1.014717 1.442542 2.121979
2025-04-20 0.261434 0.364128 0.507487 0.726107 1.057998 1.554458 2.375597
2025-04-27 0.246370 0.350700 0.500086 0.734332 1.101212 1.669025 2.645105
2025-05-04 0.232625 0.337829 0.492032 0.740168 1.140298 1.779753 2.920007
2025-05-11 0.219528 0.324737 0.482318 0.742055 1.172460 1.881384 3.190260
2025-05-18 0.209558 0.315534 0.477609 0.751056 1.216399 2.005957 3.514843
2025-05-25 0.194790 0.297741 0.458006 0.733842 1.214106 2.050163 3.696640
2025-06-01 0.187491 0.291488 0.456663 0.747469 1.267214 2.199119 4.099419
2025-06-08 0.176648 0.278768 0.443864 0.740442 1.283024 2.282040 4.384496
2025-06-15 0.169337 0.271293 0.439105 0.746793 1.323292 2.414103 4.785999
2025-06-22 0.159731 0.259307 0.425803 0.736636 1.331476 2.484694 5.066973
2025-06-29 0.151880 0.249787 0.416051 0.732048 1.349623 2.576388 5.405747
2025-07-06 0.140565 0.233591 0.393545 0.701949 1.315012 2.557087 5.491751
2025-07-13 0.135980 0.228904 0.391171 0.709698 1.356510 2.699948 5.972747
2025-07-20 0.131739 0.224551 0.389070 0.717711 1.399119 2.849471 6.491561
2025-07-27 0.127444 0.219828 0.385951 0.723399 1.437250 2.993076 7.017305
2025-08-03 0.122907 0.214388 0.381125 0.725237 1.467214 3.121377 7.523522
2025-08-10 0.119543 0.210918 0.379781 0.734007 1.512989 3.290929 8.165271